The whale is usually right. You're usually late. We tell you which one you're looking at.
We watch 50 of Polymarket's top wallets around the clock, and put every move they make in front of you with the price they paid and what is left for you at it. We don't promise it makes money — our own record is below. We promise you stop finding out a day late.
Free tier · No card required · Cancel anytime
The price ladder
We graded every alert against what the whale paid for it — the one number nobody else in this market publishes, and the one that separated our winners from our losers more consistently than anything else we measured, our own AI's confidence included.
Return per $1 staked, by the price the whale paid.
When a whale got in early on a genuine underdog, following them worked — the market hadn't caught up, so there was still something left for you. Not the outright longshots, though: those lost.
Above 0.60 the whale was often still right — and you still lost, because you were buying the leftovers. This is the trade everyone copies.
So every alert shows it. A whale putting 30× their usual size into an outcome priced at 0.72 is impressive — and you are still being offered 28 cents of upside for 72 cents of risk. Both facts reach you, in the same message. What you do with them is yours.
Measured across May–August 2026, net of Polymarket's taker fee. These are small samples: the direction has held in every cut we have run, but no single band separates from chance at this sample size, so we treat entry price as something to show you rather than a rule we apply. We publish the numbers anyway, because the alternative is a win rate with no price attached.
What you get
Real format · Sample data · Not a current call
How it works
We watch a 50-wallet watchlist, drawn from Polymarket's top-100 leaderboards, 24/7 via the official trade firehose. Every fill from a tracked whale gets captured in real time.
Each position is weighed against the whale's history, the market context, the size relative to their norm — and the price already on the screen.
Pro sees it in real time, free tier five minutes later. Only the calls that matter — we keep SKIPs internal.
Scale
Fifty top-ranked Polymarket wallets, every day.
A win rate without an entry price is marketing.
“63% win rate” tells you nothing if those entries averaged 0.70 — at that price you needed 70% just to break even. Every tracker publishes the first number. We publish both, plus the gap between them.
Type
/track_record
in the bot: win rate, average entry price, and edge — by category, resolved
bets only, no curated highlights.
Pricing
FAQ
Polymarket is the largest prediction market platform — a place where people bet on real-world outcomes (elections, sports, crypto, geopolitics). Whales there often spot patterns retail misses. WhaleSense shows you what they're doing and breaks down why — so you decide informed, not blindly.
Because the price is the market's probability. Paying 0.72 means you need the outcome to happen more than 72% of the time just to break even. A whale who bought the same outcome at 0.40 has a completely different bet from the one you'd be making now — even though it's the same market, the same side, the same whale. That gap is what most trackers never show you.
No. WhaleSense provides AI-generated analysis of public on-chain trade data. We are not a registered investment advisor. Past whale performance does not guarantee future returns. Always do your own research. You bet, you own the outcome.
No. Each alert is research — what the whale did, why it might matter, what could go wrong. You decide. We've shipped BUYs that lost. BUY is our read, not a prediction. Sizing, timing, and risk management are yours.
Manual for the first cohort. /upgrade in the bot returns a USDC
address on Polygon — send $29, reply with the tx hash + your email, Pro is live
for 30 days. No card data stored, no auto-renewal — you only pay when you decide to.
Yes. No auto-renewal — each Pro payment grants 30 days, and we never charge again unless you send the next payment. To stop, just don't renew. No refunds for partial periods.
Pro: typically under 2 minutes from the whale's last fill to your Telegram — most of that is the 60-second window we use to aggregate fragmented orders. Free: add a 5-minute delay so the Pro tier keeps its edge.
Worth being precise about, because it is not the same as being early. Whales build a position over a median of about 10 minutes, and we alert once they stop. Measured over 973 alerts, the median gap from a whale's first fill to your message is 11.6 minutes — so you are usually seeing a finished position, not joining one in progress, and the price has often already moved. That is why our own analysis so often says the whale likely entered lower.
We draw candidates from Polymarket's official top-100 leaderboards (overall + sports, weekly + monthly views) and keep the 50 best as the live watchlist. We refresh the watchlist regularly so cold whales rotate out and rising stars rotate in.
No. We only deliver BUY and WATCH calls —
SKIP calls are recorded for our analytics but never wake you up.
Repeat alerts on the same position are suppressed for six hours — unless
the whale doubles their stake, which is the one thing worth waking you for.
Those arrive marked as a follow-on, showing what they held before and now.
You can also
/mute
anytime if you need a break.
Yes — there's a Discord, and it is brand new: right now joining means talking to the person who builds this, not a room full of traders. Come if you want to argue with a call, ask why an alert read the way it did, or push back on the numbers. That is what it is for at this size.